Enhancing an EMR-Based Real-Time Sepsis Alert System Performance through Machine Learning
Project Number5R21HS024750-02
Contact PI/Project LeaderSHERWIN, ROBERT L
Awardee OrganizationWAYNE STATE UNIVERSITY
Description
Abstract Text
Project Summary
Sepsis is defined as a severe infection with dangerous physiologic changes, organ dysfunction or death,
which hospitalizes over 1.6 million people in the U.S. annually. Sepsis is a priority for the Center for Medicaid
and Medicare Services due to its healthcare impact, incidence and staggering annual cost, which exceed $20
billion and 5% of all U.S. hospital costs. All sepsis patients, even those with mild sepsis are at risk for in-
hospital complications and death, but have improved outcomes if identified early. Sepsis recognition, however,
is challenging due to the heterogeneity of patients who may manifest a wide array of clinical presentations.
Electronic medical record (EMR) linked computer programs, known as clinical decision support (CDS) tools,
have become ubiquitous to assist providers, including identifying sepsis patients. Unfortunately, all CDS tools
in the literature miss 20-30% of sepsis patients and frequently misidentify non-sepsis patients as sepsis
patients. Inaccurate CDS tools generate far too many false positive alerts, creating the dangerous condition of
“alert fatigue” in which providers become habituated to all alerts, threatening patient safety and even leading to
fatal consequences.
The PI and Co-I of this proposal collaboratively developed a CDS software called Sepsis-Alert for adult
emergency department (ED) patients. It was fully implemented into Detroit Medical Center's (DMC) EMR live
environment and has now been continually operational to provide real-time ongoing monitoring of all ED
patients at Sinai Grace Hospital of DMC since October 2014. Our analysis of 25,000 ED visits reveals that
while Sepsis-Alert's performance exceeds any reported performance, it still remains unacceptably inaccurate.
All the CDS tools, including ours, have two limitations: (1) they lack a mechanism to learn from their past
erroneous decisions and consequently repeat the same mistakes again and again, and (2) their decision-
making process is fixed and treats all patients in the same way even in face of high heterogeneity of patients,
The main thrust of this research project is to develop an innovative prototype CDS software that
functions like Sepsis-Alert but without the two limitations for the same ED sepsis screening purpose. We will
develop the software system by utilizing data extracted from the EMR and will test and fine tune the system in
over 35,000 retrospective and prospective patients at Sinai Grace Hospital. The proposed prototype, Intelligent
Sepsis Alert, will have the cutting edge capabilities of recognizing the subtleties of sepsis, categorizing patients
and learning from its own mistakes to avoid repeat them. CDS tools of the future can and must be better.
Machine learning is the solution to optimizing patient care without creating a harmful environment. The final
deliverable of this project will be a highly accurate and advanced program readily adoptable by any health
system or hospital to improve sepsis care and create a safer healthcare environment.
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Public Health Relevance Statement
Project Narrative
Sepsis is a toxic response to a severe infection and represents a healthcare
epidemic, which afflicts millions of people and accounts for 5% of all hospital costs and
over $20 billion in the U.S. annually. This project's objective is to develop a cutting
edge computer based tool, called Intelligent Sepsis Alert, with the power of machine
intelligence (a form of artificial intelligence) and the ability to learn that will accurately
identify sepsis patients for healthcare providers extremely early in their hospital course
to ensure that patients receive all of the necessary life-saving interventions they need.
Intelligent Sepsis Alert will be readily adoptable by other hospitals and health systems
and by providing the critical real-time, bedside support for early sepsis identification will
translate into multitudes of deaths prevented, abundant intensive care unit admissions
avoided, hundreds of thousands of dollars saved and thousands of wasted nursing and
physician man-hours eliminated.
No Sub Projects information available for 5R21HS024750-02
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Outcomes
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