Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second most commonly diagnosed malignancy in men, with incidence and mortality rates varying across Africans and Europeans. The vast majority of deaths from PCa occur among the approximately 10-15% of patients diagnosed with aggressive PCa. The etiology of PCa is poorly understood. Basic research supports a crucial role of certain proteins in PCa development. Epidemiological studies also have identified multiple candidate protein biomarkers for PCa. However, conventional epidemiologic studies were conducted primarily in Europeans, and it is unclear which of the candidate protein biomarkers may be European-specific or pan-ethnic. Also, findings with many of these biomarkers have been inconsistent, potentially due to major methodological limitations, such as selection bias and uncontrolled confounding. Besides understanding etiology, identifying causal protein biomarkers can potentially contribute to improving risk prediction. For PCa, substantial efforts have been made to identify high-risk populations for improving PCa screening. However, the performance of available PCa risk prediction models remains unsatisfactory. There are critical needs to 1) apply a novel study design with reduced limitations of conventional biomarker studies for characterizing PCa causally related protein biomarkers across Africans and Europeans to improve the etiology understanding; and 2) develop improved prediction models that may effectively facilitate PCa risk/aggressiveness assessment across Africans and Europeans. One strategy to potentially decrease limitations of unmeasured confounding is to use genetic instruments for assessing the relationship between proteins and PCa. While our previous studies have utilized proteins measured in blood, it is also critical to study prostate tissue, the most relevant tissue for PCa development, as levels of many proteins show tissue-specific effects. The proposed project will apply a series of new studies to address these important knowledge gaps. Specifically, we will 1) conduct a study to identify putative causal protein biomarkers for PCa risk and aggressiveness across Africans and Europeans by applying novel methods (Aim 1); 2) functionally characterize top protein biomarkers for their roles in PCa biology (Aim 2); and 3) develop and validate ethnic-specific and pan-ethnic prediction models for PCa risk and aggressiveness, by incorporating newly identified candidate protein biomarkers and integrating results from multiple statistical methods (Aim 3). Our study will generate important new knowledge for PCa etiology, and develop improved PCa risk/aggressiveness prediction models across Africans and Europeans. The proposed new methods can also be applied to other complex diseases.

PROJECT NARRATIVE Prostate cancer is the second most commonly diagnosed malignancy in men, and there are urgent needs to identify causally related protein biomarkers and build improved prediction models for prostate cancer risk and aggressiveness. The proposed study will identify causally related protein biomarkers for prostate cancer using an innovative design of combining novel statistical methods and functional characterization and develop improved prostate cancer prediction models across Africans and Europeans using novel methods. Knowledge generated by this project will not only significantly contribute to the etiologic understanding of prostate cancer, but also have potential utility in improving its risk/aggressiveness assessment in Africans and Europeans.