A Risk Stratification Model for Health and Academic Outcomes in Children with Concussion Based on Novel Symptom Trajectory Typologies
Project Number5R01NS129617-03
Contact PI/Project LeaderREUTER-RICE, KARIN
Awardee OrganizationDUKE UNIVERSITY
Description
Abstract Text
ABSTRACT.
Concussions occur at an alarming rate among U.S. schoolchildren, with one in five children experiencing a
concussion by age 16. The number of children visiting emergency departments for concussions annually has
increased by 50% over the past decade, with an estimated cost to the healthcare system of $1 billion/year.
Compared to adults, children experience longer and more severe postconcussive symptoms (PCS). Severity
and duration of PCS, however, vary considerably among children, complicating clinical care and return to learn
and play. Persistent PCS including physical, emotional, and cognitive symptoms, result in increased school
absenteeism, social isolation, and psychological distress. Early PCS diagnosis and access to evidence-based
return-to-health and -school interventions are strongly linked to positive health and academic outcomes. Yet
models to identify children at high risk for persistent PCS are lacking. PCS have been linked to inflammatory
processes occurring within the injured brain. Preliminary evidence suggests that fatigue, another symptom
likely contributing to poor outcomes, is also a biological byproduct of pediatric concussions. Importantly, even
though 73% of children report continuous fatigue after concussion, this symptom is rarely studied along with
other PCS. Prior research has focused on the relationship between inflammatory biomarkers and PCS severity
but has not examined this relationship longitudinally. Acute symptom severity alone, however, is a poor
prognostic of clinical outcomes in concussed children. Symptom severity immediately postinjury does not
explain why at least 25% of children still experience PCS after 1 year or why even children who may appear
asymptomatic still report academic and social challenges months after concussion. To identify which children
are at high risk for persistent PCS and poor health, academic, and social outcomes, research tracking PCS
trajectories and describing school-based impacts across the entire first year postinjury is critically needed. This
proposal will 1) define novel PCS trajectory typologies in a racially/ethnically diverse population of 500 children
with concussion (11–17 years, near equal distribution by sex), 2) identify associations between these
typologies and patterns of inflammatory biomarkers, 3) develop a risk stratification model to identify children at
risk for persistent PCS; and 4) gain unique insights and describe PCS impact, including fatigue, on longer-term
academic and social outcomes. We will be the first to use NIH's symptom science model and patient-reported
outcomes to explore the patterns of fatigue and other physical, cognitive, psychological, emotional and
academic responses to concussion in children over a full year. Our model will enable clinicians and educators
to identify children most at risk for poor long-term health, social, and academic outcomes after concussion.
This work is critical to meeting our long-term goal of developing personalized concussion symptom-
management strategies to improve outcomes and reduce disparities in the health and quality of life of children.
Public Health Relevance Statement
PROJECT NARRATIVE.
Of the millions of American schoolchildren who suffer concussions each year, approximately one quarter
experience persistent physical, emotional, and/or cognitive symptoms, which can affect their quality of life,
academic performance, social behavior, and psychological well-being. This project will measure concussion
symptoms, biological markers, and academic and social factors across the first year postconcussion to develop
a model that enables early identification of and symptom management for children at higher risk for persistent
postconcussive symptoms. Findings will provide novel insights into the longer-term effects of concussion on
children's physical, psychological, and social well-being and support the development of personalized
healthcare and school-based plans to reduce disparities in children's ability to return-to-learn and -play and
improve postconcussion quality of life.
NIH Spending Category
No NIH Spending Category available.
Project Terms
AbsenteeismAdultAffectAgeAmericanBiologicalBiological MarkersBrain ConcussionBrain InjuriesCharacteristicsChildChildhoodClinicalCognitiveDataDevelopmentDiagnosisEarly identificationEconomic BurdenEmergency department visitEmotionalFamilyFatigueGenesGoalsGrowthHealthHealth Care SystemsInflammatoryInjuryInterventionLearningLinkMeasuresModelingNeurobehavioral ManifestationsOutcomePatient Outcomes AssessmentsPatient Self-ReportPatternPerformancePlayPopulation HeterogeneityPost-Concussion SyndromeProcessPublic HealthQuality of lifeReportingResearchRiskSchoolsSeveritiesSex DistributionSocial BehaviorSocial Well-BeingSocial isolationSocial outcomeSymptomsTimeTypologyUnited States National Institutes of HealthVariantWell in selfWorkacute symptomcare outcomesclinical careclinical prognosticcognitive functionconcussive symptomcost estimatecytokinedemographicsdisparity reductionemotional symptomethnic diversityevidence baseexperiencehealth care deliveryhealth disparityhealth economicshigh riskimprovedimproved outcomeinsightmeetingsnoveloutcome disparitiespeerpersistent symptompersonalized carepersonalized health carephysical symptompsychologicpsychological distressracial diversityresponserisk stratificationsocialsocial factorssocietal costssocioeconomicssymptom managementsymptom science
National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke
CFDA Code
853
DUNS Number
044387793
UEI
TP7EK8DZV6N5
Project Start Date
01-March-2023
Project End Date
29-February-2028
Budget Start Date
01-March-2025
Budget End Date
28-February-2026
Project Funding Information for 2025
Total Funding
$554,454
Direct Costs
$372,407
Indirect Costs
$182,047
Year
Funding IC
FY Total Cost by IC
2025
National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke
$554,454
Year
Funding IC
FY Total Cost by IC
Sub Projects
No Sub Projects information available for 5R01NS129617-03
Publications
Publications are associated with projects, but cannot be identified with any particular year of the project or fiscal year of funding. This is due to the continuous and cumulative nature of knowledge generation across the life of a project and the sometimes long and variable publishing timeline. Similarly, for multi-component projects, publications are associated with the parent core project and not with individual sub-projects.
No Publications available for 5R01NS129617-03
Patents
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Outcomes
The Project Outcomes shown here are displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Institutes of Health. NIH has not endorsed the content below.
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Clinical Studies
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History
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